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The invincible spy

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Monday, May 07, 2012

He's killed 198 enemies and James Bond somehow stays alive.

One fan with probably far too much time on his hands, has calculated the exact probability of 007 dodging death so many times. He concludes the spy should have died years ago.

Gordon Stanger worked out that Bond has been shot at 4,662 times since the first film, Dr No, in 1962.

He then estimated there was a 5 per cent chance of the spy being fatally wounded on each occasion.

Expressed mathematically, this means the chance of Bond not getting killed is 1.4 x 10 to the power of minus 104, or in Mr Stanger’s words, ‘as close to zero as makes no difference’.

There have also been 130 other attempts on Bond’s life that didn't involve being shot at, so 007s chances of survival are even slimmer.

Another amazing fact - Bond is rarely armed when he finds himself in a fight to the death.


Mr Stanger constructed his formula after New Scientist magazine asked its readers to work out what was the probability of Bond still being alive.

The 23rd Bond film, Skyfall, which will star Daniel Craig, Dame Judi Dench and Naomie Harris, is currently being filmed.

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